Returns, Rules, Regions
Expectations still take their cue from a pre-pandemic benchmark. Kroll’s Josh Benn points to cash-on-cash returns of "12–15%" as the historical lodestar, a range that continues to frame investor appetite even as conditions evolve. Capital has shown a taste for brands with strong unit economics, examples cited include Dunkin’, Taco Bell, and Wingstop, and for categories like chicken and Mexican fast casual, while more commoditized segments such as pizza face a cooler reception.
Franchisor rules shape feasibility. Restaurant Brands International limits leverage and geography and requires owner-operator equity, constricting the buyer pool, whereas system-friendly franchisors facilitate smoother transactions. Geography, too, refuses to be an afterthought; Popeyes is cited as dominant in Louisiana but underperforming elsewhere, a reminder that context flavors results. Against this backdrop, the chosen theaters for the two megadeals, Texas, Florida, Oklahoma, New Mexico, and specific corridors from Western North Carolina to Ohio, read as calibrated selections rather than scattershot bets.
Analysis: Returns history, franchisor policies, and regional performance profiles funnel capital toward systems and markets where economics, governance, and geography align, explaining the markets prioritized in the 7 Brew and Bojangles strategies.